Skin Cancer in Tampa Bay: The Numbers
Medically reviewed by Joshua Brady, MD, FAAD • September 2026
This page is a plain-language reference for Tampa Bay residents, reporters, and community groups, built from the federal cancer registries that track melanoma county by county: the National Cancer Institute's State Cancer Profiles and the SEER program. It lays out how often melanoma is diagnosed and how often it is fatal in Hillsborough, Pinellas, Pasco, and the counties around Tampa Bay, next to the Florida and national rates, and what those numbers mean for someone deciding whether to get a skin check.
We update this page when the registries publish new data years, typically once a year. Data last checked September 26, 2026.
Key Numbers
455
Melanoma diagnoses a year in Hillsborough County (average, 2019 to 2023)
+2.1%/yr
Hillsborough's melanoma rate is rising about 2.1% a year, 2019 to 2023
30
Melanoma deaths a year in Hillsborough County (average, 2020 to 2024)
77%
of US melanomas are found while still localized, with a five-year relative survival SEER reports as 100% at that stage, vs 34% once distant (2016 to 2022)
Melanoma Diagnoses per Year, by County
All rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population so that counties with older or younger populations can be compared fairly, and cover all stages of melanoma diagnosed from 2019 through 2023.
| Geography | Rate per 100,000, age-adjusted | 95% CI | Average cases per year | Recent trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 23.8 | 23.7, 23.8 | 95,450 | Stable |
| Florida | 26.8 | 26.5, 27.0 | 8,470 | Stable |
| Hillsborough County | 26.7 | 25.6, 27.9 | 455 | Rising 2.1%/yr |
| Pinellas County | 29.6 | 28.3, 31.0 | 470 | Falling 3.5%/yr |
| Pasco County | 33.9 | 32.1, 35.8 | 289 | Stable |
| Hernando County | 33.3 | 30.3, 36.4 | 113 | Rising 2.4%/yr |
| Polk County | 32.2 | 30.6, 33.9 | 322 | Stable |
| Manatee County | 37.5 | 35.4, 39.8 | 276 | Stable |
Every county in the table runs above the national rate, and four of the six (Pasco, Hernando, Polk and Manatee) sit 35 to 58 percent above it. Hillsborough's rate is climbing while Pinellas's is falling.
Florida ranks 19th among states by melanoma rate (Utah's 43.8 is the highest), but its 8,470 cases a year are among the largest state totals in the country simply because of how many people live here.
Melanoma Deaths per Year, by County
| Geography | Death rate per 100,000, age-adjusted | 95% CI | Average deaths per year |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 2.0 | 2.0, 2.0 | 8,340 |
| Florida | 2.1 | 2.0, 2.2 | 714 |
| Hillsborough County | 1.8 | 1.5, 2.1 | 30 |
| Pinellas County | 2.4 | 2.1, 2.8 | 44 |
| Pasco County | 2.7 | 2.2, 3.3 | 24 |
| Hernando County | 2.8 | 2.1, 3.9 | 10 |
| Polk County | 1.9 | 1.6, 2.4 | 21 |
| Manatee County | 2.1 | 1.6, 2.7 | 17 |
Melanoma of the Skin, 2020 to 2024, age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population.
Why Finding It Early Matters
Melanoma's outlook depends heavily on the stage at diagnosis. SEER tracks how far the disease had spread when it was found and the five-year relative survival for each stage, from 2016 through 2022:
| Stage at diagnosis | Share of cases | Five-year relative survival |
|---|---|---|
| Localized | 77% | 100.0% |
| Regional | 10% | 76.0% |
| Distant | 5% | 34.0% |
| Unknown | 9% | 95.4% |
| All stages combined | 94.7% |
SEER prints five-year survival for localized melanoma as 100.0% because relative survival compares people with melanoma to the general population of the same age, not to a raw count of deaths, so people diagnosed at the localized stage survived the following five years at the same rate as the general population.
Basal Cell and Squamous Cell Carcinoma Are Not Counted
Every table above is melanoma only. Basal cell carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma, together the most common skin cancers by far, do not appear in these county figures at all. Central cancer registries like the ones behind this page do not routinely collect basal and squamous cell cases, because they are so common. That means there is no Hillsborough or Pinellas rate to report for them, even though they make up the large majority of skin cancer diagnoses.
The best national estimate instead comes from the CDC's analysis of Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data: roughly 6.1 million adults are treated for basal and squamous cell skin cancer each year in the US, at a cost of about $8.9 billion. See the CDC's skin cancer statistics page for the full breakdown.
What This Means for Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay's sun exposure is a year-round fact of life, not a summer season, and the county-level numbers above bear that out: every county around the bay carries a melanoma rate above the national average. Hillsborough's rate is also rising while Pinellas's is falling, a reminder that the trend line matters as much as the snapshot and can move in either direction from one place to the next.
The stage data tells the more hopeful half of the story. Most melanomas in the US are found while still localized, the stage where SEER's five-year relative survival tracks the general population, and that gap between localized and distant survival is almost entirely a function of when the cancer was caught. A yearly skin check by a dermatologist, plus checking your own skin between visits, is how a melanoma gets found at the localized stage rather than later.
If it has been a while since your last full-body skin exam, or you have never had one, Tampa Bay Dermatology welcomes new patients for a skin cancer screening. We accept most major insurance plans, including Medicare.
Sources
- NCI State Cancer Profiles, melanoma incidence rates, Florida by county (2019 to 2023):https://www.statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov/incidencerates/index.php?statefips=12&areatype=county&cancer=053&stage=999&race=00&sex=0&age=001&year=0&ruralurban=0&type=incd
- NCI State Cancer Profiles, melanoma death rates, Florida by county (2020 to 2024):https://www.statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov/deathrates/index.php?statefips=12&areatype=county&cancer=053&race=00&sex=0&age=001&year=0&type=death
- NCI State Cancer Profiles, melanoma incidence by state, ranked (2019 to 2023):https://www.statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov/incidencerates/index.php?stateFIPS=00&areatype=state&cancer=053&stage=999&race=00&sex=0&age=001&year=0&ruralurban=0&type=incd&sortVariableName=rate&sortOrder=desc
- SEER Cancer Stat Facts, Melanoma of the Skin, stage at diagnosis and five-year relative survival (2016 to 2022):https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/melan.html
- CDC Skin Cancer Statistics, basal and squamous cell carcinoma national estimate:https://www.cdc.gov/skin-cancer/statistics/index.html
Cite this page: Tampa Bay Dermatology, "Skin Cancer in Tampa Bay: The Numbers," tbderm.com/skin-cancer-statistics-tampa-bay/, data from NCI State Cancer Profiles and SEER, checked September 26, 2026.
Reporters and community groups may reuse these figures with attribution to the original sources; Dr. Joshua Brady is available for comment via the office.
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